Will Gawr Gura return from her break before February 14, 2023?
20
390Ṁ2514resolved Feb 12
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: Gura announced a break December 21, 2022 https://twitter.com/gawrgura/status/1605615746981122048
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ96 | |
| 2 | Ṁ45 | |
| 3 | Ṁ37 | |
| 4 | Ṁ16 | |
| 5 | Ṁ8 |
People are also trading
Will gwern get at least one girlfriend or significant other by the end of 2023?
13% chance
Will gwern get a girlfriend/have a relationship at least once by EOY2030?
52% chance
Will gwern visit Wales by EOY2035?
3% chance
Will Gypsy Rose Blanchard be found in violation of her parole by the end of 2024?
45% chance
Sort by:
Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Arc
them: you should make prediction markets in an attempt to estimate the probability of important future events me: ah yes, I must use the wisdom of markets to determine when my oshi will return https://manifold.markets/Arctanno/will-gawr-gura-return-from-her-brea?r=QXJjdGFubm8
People are also trading
Related questions
Will gwern get at least one girlfriend or significant other by the end of 2023?
13% chance
Will gwern get a girlfriend/have a relationship at least once by EOY2030?
52% chance
Will gwern visit Wales by EOY2035?
3% chance
Will Gypsy Rose Blanchard be found in violation of her parole by the end of 2024?
45% chance