Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be interviewed on Joe Rogan's podcast by the end of 2023?
Eliezer Yudkowsky•Joe Rogan•Yudkowsky Podcasts•New Year's Resolutions 2024
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NO

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

Eliezer and the AI Notkilleveryoneism movement was mentioned explicitly with (I believe) pmarca

predicted YES

Why is this going up?

bought Ṁ25 of YES

He's been on Lex Fridman. This is now a dead cert.

predicted NO

@JackONeil Surely a certainty is worthy of much more than $25!

bought Ṁ800 of NO
predicted NO

https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-a-guest-o the same market for 80000 hours trades lower than this. Despite 80k being more serious and socially closer to EY

predicted YES

@harfe my brother in christ you just opened this market today

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@harfe thanks for pointing that out. I bought YES for 80,000 Hours and NO for Joe Rogan.

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

I will make sure this happens

predicted NO

@ErenDogan what makes you so confident you can make this happen?

@LukeHanks I can vouch for him

predicted NO

@ne Okay. What makes you so confident he can make this happen?

predicted NO

@LukeHanks I can vouch for them

predicted NO

@rockenots You're predicting NO at 19%. That looks like a contradiction to me. Regardless, I'm looking for explanations, not vouchers.

@LukeHanks I can vouch for all three of them 😎🔥

@LukeHanks I can vouch for their vouch of vouching

@mkualquiera I can't vouch for anyone but I was feeling left out

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