Eliezer and the AI Notkilleveryoneism movement was mentioned explicitly with (I believe) pmarca

Why is this going up?

He's been on Lex Fridman. This is now a dead cert.

@JackONeil Surely a certainty is worthy of much more than $25!

https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-a-guest-o the same market for 80000 hours trades lower than this. Despite 80k being more serious and socially closer to EY

@harfe my brother in christ you just opened this market today

@harfe thanks for pointing that out. I bought YES for 80,000 Hours and NO for Joe Rogan.

I will make sure this happens

@ErenDogan what makes you so confident you can make this happen?

@LukeHanks I can vouch for him

@ne Okay. What makes you so confident he can make this happen?

@LukeHanks I can vouch for them

@rockenots You're predicting NO at 19%. That looks like a contradiction to me. Regardless, I'm looking for explanations, not vouchers.

@LukeHanks I can vouch for all three of them 😎🔥

@LukeHanks I can vouch for their vouch of vouching

@mkualquiera I can't vouch for anyone but I was feeling left out