Will I hit 160 lbs bodyweight by the end of 2024, as tracked by my Fitbit Aria 2 scale and posted on Beeminder + video?
4
90Ṁ1485resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
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1M
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https://www.beeminder.com/resonant_pyre/loseit
Market immediately resolves YES if at any point between now and 11:59 PM, December 31, 2024 I
weigh in at 160 pounds or lower on this Beeminder graph AND
I livestream a video of myself weighing in so it can be confirmed I am not cheating the scale, AND
This video is not widely considered a fake.
Market immediately resolves NO if
I fall, or
I delete the goal, or
I fail to weigh in (= enter a Beeminder data point) at least once on any day between them and now, or
I bet or retract anything other than my initial 1000 M
YES
on this market.
Market resolves NA if I die 💀.
I will bet 1000 M on myself at the start to ensure alignment and will not bet otherwise on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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