Will I hit 160 lbs bodyweight by the end of 2024, as tracked by my Fitbit Aria 2 scale and posted on Beeminder + video?
resolved Jan 1


Market immediately resolves YES if at any point between now and 11:59 PM, December 31, 2024 I

  1. weigh in at 160 pounds or lower on this Beeminder graph AND

  2. I livestream a video of myself weighing in so it can be confirmed I am not cheating the scale, AND

  3. This video is not widely considered a fake.

Market immediately resolves NO if

  1. I fall, or

  2. I delete the goal, or

  3. I fail to weigh in (= enter a Beeminder data point) at least once on any day between them and now, or

  4. I bet or retract anything other than my initial 1000 M YES on this market.

Market resolves NA if I die 💀.

I will bet 1000 M on myself at the start to ensure alignment and will not bet otherwise on this market.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
Sort by:
predicted YES

¯\_(ツ)_/¯ I was overly optimistic. Suits me right!

predicted YES

We have reached below 190 lbs ladies and gents

No video proof, mostly because I'm lazy, but I'll take a vid once I get below 180

predicted YES

Down to 196.3 lbs today. I have plenty of time left to get to 160.

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Only voted no because the odds were incredible. Good luck 🫡

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

@Morch 🫡🫡