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Will the market for this question fall below 2.0% at any point before the question closes on 8/1/24?
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No, it should resolve yes. An API call shows this market falling below 2.0% after a single trade by @SentientTree 7 days ago.
Verify it yourself: https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?contractSlug=will-this-market-fall-below-20
Search for ”sm2THU7N2le5”, the bet id, and verify that probAfter < 0.2