
Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
109
1.7kṀ13kSep 26
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
86%
Biden
7%
Trump
4%
Putin
1.9%
Xi
They're all in their eighth or ninth decades!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Really silly to think it’d be too drastically higher a likelihood than the others for any of these considering all the random health complications people get when they’re this old. We wouldn’t hear about most of the issues anyway, so making this decision based on what gets the most media coverage is laughable.
@SteveAcomb There's a pretty big difference between 70 and 80 years old, so I'm not betting on Xi.
@PatrickAupperle sound logic on it’s own, however it is arguably the least likely for us to know about any health problems he may have, so anything sub-double-digits for Xi seems underpriced for that reason alone.