Lewis Hamilton joined Scuderia Ferrari for the 2025 F1 season after 12 years at Mercedes. His first season was difficult — he finished 6th in the championship with no Grand Prix podiums, though he did win the Chinese GP Sprint in March 2025. Hamilton has 105 career Grand Prix wins (joint-record 7 World Championships) but hasn't won a Grand Prix since the 2024 Belgian GP.
The 2026 season has started more promisingly: under new technical regulations, he scored his first Ferrari Grand Prix podium (P3 in China) and Ferrari sit second in the Constructors' standings behind Mercedes after three rounds.
This market asks whether he will convert that progress into an actual Grand Prix victory during his current spell at Ferrari.
Resolution criteria:
Resolves YES if Lewis Hamilton is classified as the winner (P1) of any Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix while contracted as a race driver to Scuderia Ferrari, during his current tenure with the team (which began with the 2025 season). The official FIA classification at the end of any appeals process is what counts.
Resolves NO if Hamilton's current Ferrari race-driver tenure ends — whether by retirement from F1, transfer to another team, or any other separation from the team — without him having won a Grand Prix for Ferrari. This resolution is final: any subsequent return to Ferrari at a later date (e.g. a comeback in a future season) does not reopen the market or change its resolution.
Contract extensions count as the same tenure: if Hamilton continues racing for Ferrari into the 2027 season (or beyond) without a break in his Ferrari race-driver status, the market remains open and its close date will be extended accordingly. Only an actual departure from the team ends the "current tenure" for the purposes of this market.
Sprint races do NOT count for this market. (Hamilton's 2025 Chinese GP Sprint win is excluded.)
Disqualifications: if Hamilton crosses the line first but is later disqualified or stripped of the win, the market follows the official final classification.