This market resolves to the opposite of @acc's position at close.

Question

At close:

If @acc has a net YES position on this market, resolves NO.

If @acc has a net NO position on this market, resolves YES.

If @acc has no net position on this market, resolves YES with 80% probability and NO with 20% probability.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (0 traders, as of Dec 29, 2023).

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