Resolves Yes if someone managed to find out what is "the pivot" before James or a manifold staff officially announces it. The details have to be leaked at least 6 hours before the intended official announcement for it to count. And the person who knew the details have to then leak it in public (to discord or to a market) for it to count.

I will not trade on this market.I will use my judgement to decide whether something counts as a leak.

Examples of what counts as a leak:
Someone checked Manifold's github and found coding changes that reveals what the pivot is about
Someone found out major details about the pivot by talking to a Manifold staff
Someone who can mind-read read James mind and then announced what the leak is about

Examples of what does not counts as a leak:
James talked about some details of the pivot in a public channel in manifold discord
Manifold github update about the leak 3 hours before the official announcement and someone found out about it.
Gabrille learned about the pivot in a mod talk, but did not reveal it to other people