Will Republican nominee for vice president be announced before the end of June 2024?
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bought Ṁ20 of NO

@AmmonLam

This question doesn't mention a particular candidate, which is a problem, because the Republican nominees for president and vice president aren't officially chosen until the Republican National Convention (July 15-18). So if this market is talking about the official VP nominee, then there really isn't a way for it to resolve YES.

Unless:

1) Maybe this market means the announcement of a vice president pick of the Republican candidate who is the presumptive presidential nominee as of June 30, 2024. That would probably work, although it might get messy if that presumptive candidate doesn't end up being officially selected by the convention.

2) Maybe this market means the announcement of a VP by the eventual official presidential candidate, chosen by the convention. Probably that will be the same as the presumptive nominee on June 30, but ya never know.

3) Maybe this market means the eventual nominee for vice president. Like, whoever ends up being the official Republican veep selected by the convention, was that person announced before the end of June?

So, some edge cases to consider.

Traders might also be interested in your other similar market about Trump's VP pick: https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/when-would-donald-trump-officially

@AmmonLam In short, my question is: Which or what or whose announcement?

@Tsunombie Thanks for laying out the scenerios.

To stay true to the question title, the resolution will be based on the announcement date of the VP of whichever candidate ended up being the Republican nominee. So this market will not resolve until the official Republican nominee is chosen (i.e. your 3rd scenerio)

@AmmonLam You betcha! I was very pleased with myself for thinking it through 😂