Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2023?
AmmonLam avatar
Ammon Lam
21
closes Jan 1
96%
chance

Resolution according to FIDE offical ratings

https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml

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3 Comments
20 Positions
27 Trades
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BenjaminShindel avatar
Benjamin Shindel

Related market for those who are bored by the likelihood of Magnus being the highest ranked player for a while:
https://manifold.markets/BenjaminShindel/who-will-be-the-highest-rated-chess?r=QmVuamFtaW5TaGluZGVs

Who will be the highest rated chess player in the world not named Magnus Carlsen at the end of 2023?
This resolves to the highest rated chess player that is not Magnus Carlsen on the FIDE rating list published at the start of January 2024. I may resolve this preemptively based on the December 31st live chess ratings list (https://2700chess.com/) unless it is so close that waiting for the official…
Kaivu avatar
Kaivu

Will any player other than Magnus Carlsen be rated above 2800 (classical chess, live rating) now till the end of 2023?
41% chance. Resolves yes if any player other than Magnus Carlsen is rated above 2800 in classical according to this list at any point from now till the end of 2023: https://2700chess.com/ [link preview]
Kaivu avatar
Kaivu

https://manifold.markets/Kaivu/will-any-player-other-than-magnus-c