Will Elon Musk make 2 or more Tweeter(X) posts on Apr 05, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
Will Elon Musk make 2 or more Tweeter(X) posts on Apr 05, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
9
190Ṁ9366resolved Apr 5
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to Yes if Elon Musk make 2 or more Tweeter(X) posts on Apr 05, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
!!!Only Posts counts. Repost and replies do not count!!!
Resolves to No otherwise.
Resolves NA if I was unable to verify if Elon Musk tweeted 2 or more times during the stated period
https://twitter.com/elonmusk
Note: A quoted post are still counted as a post, as long as it doesn't have a report header.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.