
Will Baldur's Gate 3 be on Steam's top 10 most played game at the end of June 2024?
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@snazzlePop My thinking at the time was: Well, it's a ~fixed-content game that relies on a manually crafted world, so fairly limited replay value. Those games tend to lose players pretty rapidly after release as people finish the thing, and that model was a great match for BG3's trendline at the time.
I took a glance at the trendline, made a guesstimate that if it kept going in a similar way it'd be well out of the top 10 by June, and bet on that.
(It's now no longer in the top 10, so that bet seems to be working out.)
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