When will the 10000 year clock by Jeff Bezos' team complete?
Basic
3
Ṁ272051
42%
before 2030
19%
2030-2040
19%
2040-2050
19%
https://www.10000yearclock.net/updates.html
Completion defined as it is ready to be sealed and run on its own without further human intervention
Even if we dont have proof that they clock can run for 10000 years, as long as the Bezos' team declare it to be completed it is considered complete for the purpose of the resolution of this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?
84% chance
Will the construction of the 10,000-year Clock of Long Now be completed before Dec 31, 2025?
27% chance
Will SpaceX Starship complete an orbit around the planet earth and before Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin?
57% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
47% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
30% chance
Will Jeff Bezos be alive through the end of 2040?
56% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
35% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
52% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
27% chance
Will Jeff Bezos be alive through the end of 2030?
83% chance