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@Ammon Lam: Released on $250M bond, in New York. https://nypost.com/2022/12/22/sam-bankman-fried-released-on-record-250m-bond/ includes video of him leaving a new york building. Can we resolve this yet?

https://nypost.com/2022/12/21/sam-bankman-fried-handed-over-to-us-authorities-heading-to-ny/

The eagle has landed.

Offer 1800 NO @ 20

https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/21/business/sam-bankman-fried-extradited-to-us/index.html supposedly on his way to a plane tonight it seems.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/20/indicted-ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-to-return-to-us-after-hearing.html tl;dr this will likely resolve on wednesday and hence to 20%

Should the final resolution case be rewritten for clarity? It seems clear from context and intent but I'd suggest:

0% if SBF are not extradited and physically arrives US before Dec 31th, 2022

=>

0% if SBF is not extradited to the US before Dec 31th, 2022

Otherwise as stated it seems a little wonky in the case where he is extradited but after December 31st.

@EdwardKmett Yes you're right. I also saw the problem with the unclear resolution if the extradition happened between Dec 25 and Dec 31th....

Will try to make better resolution criteria in the future

@AmmonLam Sorry, I don't think I understand: How do you currently plan to resolve the market if it happens between Dec 25 and Dec 31?

@StevenK Edit: 10% if SBF are extradited and physically arrives US between Dec 25th-31st

@AmmonLam And does "before" mean "before and including"?

@StevenK before doesnt include the day
[Edit: 10% if SBF are extradited and physically arrives US between Dec 25th-30th]

(I now see how much trouble it would cause if I didn't carefully check my resolution criteria before publishing the market)

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/when-will-sbf-be-extradited-to-the