resolved Nov 25

This market will resolve to a "Yes" on Nov 25. Max position 20Ṁ per person please.

Resolved

YES

If any participant placed bets over 20Ṁ in this specific market, I reserve the right to resolve the market to a "No" and compensate all other participant via tip.

(You are free to place more bets on other markets of the same name)

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Martin Randall	Ṁ11
2	Tassilo Neubauer	Ṁ8
3	JuniorBot Bot	Ṁ7
4	Amit Amin	Ṁ7
5	Gigacasting	Ṁ4

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arae

bought Ṁ25 of NO

@acc has a M$36 position

Ammon Lam

@a lol @acc is a bot correct? I need to think about how to handle bot activity

arae

is predicting NO at 89%

@AmmonLam yes

Ammon Lam

@a I think I wont void the market even if bot violated the rule. the price impact of the bot seems to be minor

Andrew G

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@AmmonLam pretty sure we're just feeding @acc at this point

Tassilo Neubauer

bought Ṁ20 of YES

Not sure what the scheme behind this is? Are you interested in the market dynamics, or just whether you can make a profit on these markets through the trader bonus?

Ammon Lam

@TassiloNeubauer yea, I figure if more than 5 people are interested in betting on these guaranteed win market for a small profit, I could replicate these market infinitely

Tassilo Neubauer

is predicting YES at 50%

@AmmonLam Funnily enough, noticed that this would work 5 min ago when I created my market on the simulation hypothesis. I decided to sell my initial shares again because I figured I'd make more profits. Most people seem to just bet fixed amounts that are too small on markets that are actually mispriced.

Manifold DreamBot

This market will resolve to a "Yes" on Nov 25. Max position 20Ṁ per person please., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition