1
Will Iran have a regime change by the end of 2024?
Alghenab avatar
Alghenab
5
closes 2024
18%
chance

Here are the requirements for an event to be called regime change in Iran:

  • The event must result in the overthrow of the current government of Iran.

  • The new government must be established through popular support or through a negotiated settlement.

  • The new government must be recognized by the international community.

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RobertCousineau avatar
Robert Cousineaubought Ṁ10 of NO

How do you define regime change? (Who will you look to as a source?

RobertCousineau avatar
Robert Cousineauis predicting NO at 5000.0%

@RobertCousineau also, you may want to N/A or cancel one of these markets (two ended up being made).

Alghenab avatar
Alghenab

@RobertCousineau thank you I'm such a noob here

Alghenab avatar
Alghenab

@RobertCousineau
Here are the requirements for an event to be called regime change in Iran:

  • The event must result in the overthrow of the current government of Iran.

  • The new government must be established through popular support or through a negotiated settlement.

  • The new government must be recognized by the international community.

RobertCousineau avatar
Robert Cousineauis predicting NO at 34%

@Alghenab those look like good criteria!

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