
By when will a female driver have a regular Formula 1 seat.
7
1kṀ5052040
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
<= 2029
34%
2030 - 2034
34%
2035 - 2039
19%
2040 or later
As the title says, this must be a regular contract that's intended to be for a full season and be held by a driver who identifies as female. Replacing a driver for a single race or even part of the season, like we are seeing with Franco Colapinto right now, does not count.
Edit: only the earliest option will resolve "YES"
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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