How many more pull-ups will shalan do than I will, at the end of this year
2
56
140
2025
1
expected

My coworker Shalan and I are going to do a pull up contest at the end of this year.

This market will resolve to Shalan’s pull-ups minus my pull-ups. Positive if Shalan does more, negative if I do more. In the unlikely event of greater than 10 or less than -10, it will resolve to 10 or -10

David will judge the contest and he is very strict.

Shalan climbs at gyms a couple times a week. Shalan’s baseline was 5, but Helen thinks she was sandbagging. I’m in a bet to go to the gym 200 times this year. My baseline was 2, and I was definitely not sandbagging.

Shalan and I will not bet on this market.

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