Your move!

1. d4 d5

2. c4 c6

3. Nc3 Nf6

4. Nf3 e6

5. Bg5 dxc4

6. e4 b5

Link to the game in lichess:

https://lichess.org/analysis/standard/rnbqkb1r/p4ppp/2p1pn2/1p4B1/2pPP3/2N2N2/PP3PPP/R2QKB1R%20w%20KQkq%20-%200%207

You (Manifold) have been challenged to a game of chess! You'll be white playing me (Alex) a ~2000 lichess player who will not use any outside assistance.

After the market close I will generate a random number and the move corresponding to that percentage will be picked. For example, order the moves from highest percentage to lowest. Then to find a moves range you sum the percentages that are greater which give you the lower end of the range than add the percentage of the move itself to get the higher end of the range.

Here's the previous move and a market for the result:

Oct 4, 6:11am: Random number between 1-1001 (because of rounding) is... 615. So e5 is selected!