Your move!
d4 d5
c4 c6
Nc3 Nf6
Nf3 e6
Bg5 dxc4
e4 b5
Link to the game in lichess:
You (Manifold) have been challenged to a game of chess! You'll be white playing me (Alex) a ~2000 lichess player who will not use any outside assistance.
After the market close I will generate a random number and the move corresponding to that percentage will be picked. For example, order the moves from highest percentage to lowest. Then to find a moves range you sum the percentages that are greater which give you the lower end of the range than add the percentage of the move itself to get the higher end of the range.
Here's the previous move and a market for the result:
Oct 4, 6:11am: Random number between 1-1001 (because of rounding) is... 615. So e5 is selected!
1,000
3.00@jfjurchen I thought about it an I'm going to respect the resign option. I figure to grief you can just choose bad moves such as giving the queen away which would be the same as resigning.
@AlexLiesman Could you verify how you're treating the "resign" bet? Would you have actually treated white as resigning if you'd rolled 995, or would you have rerolled?
@Tetraspace This is the only move that retains a good advantage. The queen moves by @J. F. Jurchen are obvious blunders that a 2000-level player will definitely punish.
@Tetraspace This is the default next move that shows up from Stockfish on the Lichess display. I’m not sure how good that is in terms of chess engines; seems there’s an option to increase the depth which makes it chug for long enough for me to get bored.