Hopium

Basically free mana here: https://manifold.markets/Tassilo/is-the-simulation-hypothesis-true

@AlexL look I don't make the rules, I just do what Betfair says to do

This market is giving me annoying mixed emotions! I bought no because I thought the odds were wrong and now there's a tiny part of me that doesn't want Arsenal to win :(


This market makes me nervous. Let's just say Arsenal are playing well and top 4 would be great.
Arsenal have a higher points-per-game this season than the invincibles did over the course of their unbeaten streak.
Just wait until I convince Dustin to buy Arsenal and then we get Haaland in the January transfer window.
The key to good forecasting is picking a sensible reference class and not over-updating on small pieces of evidence.
Anyway, WE'RE GONNA WIN THE LEAGUE!!!











































