This market resolves to YES if MicroStrategy (MSTR), now branded as Strategy, is officially announced for inclusion in the S&P 500 index by S&P Dow Jones Indices on or before October 15, 2025.
As of August 2025, MicroStrategy has met all technical requirements for S&P 500 inclusion, including:
US-based company listed on a major exchange (Nasdaq)
Sufficient market capitalization (over $90 billion)
Positive earnings in most recent quarter ($10 billion in Q2 2025)
Positive cumulative earnings over trailing four quarters
However, the S&P committee has discretion over which companies to include, and may consider Strategy's Bitcoin-heavy business model as a factor.
Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve based on official announcements from S&P Dow Jones Indices, which can be found at: https://press.spglobal.com/