This market resolves YES if by the end of this year, I both
Am accepted to the SERI MATS extensions phase, and
Decide to join the SERI MATS extension phase this year (instead of doing something else)
NO otherwise.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ69 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1 |
I currently find other opportunities more exciting.
Specifically, I want to try:
Other types of research (especially empirical alignment research in areas like scalable oversight)
Seeking collaboration with or mentorship from (many?) different existing researchers with diverse/different research views
Making concrete progress on control and deploy-time interventions
Clarifying my worldview disagreements with existing alignment thinkers (how useful/helpful is ~human-level AIs? how dangerous are they? how likely are misuse scenarios? will FOOM happen?)
Improving my understanding of the whole alignment problem
As a result, I haven’t yet applied to enter the MATS extension phase.
It is very plausible that I will change my mind, but it’s already November.
@Alana In fact, it seems plausible that this market should be trading <10%, since I imagine a SERI MATS extension phase would not begin before the winter MATS cohort, which (IIRC) is in January.