Will Eliezer Yudkowsky make a tweet about the sci-fi movie M3gan before the end of 2023?
Dec 31
48%
chance

Retweets don't count.

The tweet does not have to mention M3gan by name, so long as it is either 1, unambiguously a reference to M3gan, or 2, later clarified by Eliezer Yudkowsky to be a reference to M3gan.

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Alanais predicting YES at 63%

Quote tweets are not retweets, and quite tweets do count