I’m betting that there is a chance that it functions as a little prod towards putting together some ideas that were already floating around in your head. It touches on so many things, and from so many different directions, it seems like there’s at least a 15% chance. That said, I didn’t make it all the way through myself!

I have read GEB cover-to-cover as a teenager, and I strongly don't believe it will.

@RobinGreen Why not?

@Alana Well, I started to read another book of his, and then it hit me - he was trying to build AIs that are very very like humans - even more like humans than ChatGPT is like a human, i.e. with emotions, thinking the same way as humans, etc. So I don't think his insights are actually all that relevant to modern actually-existing AI systems, which as I understand it are loosely based on human neurons but work significantly differently, even at the level of "neurons".

Also he doesn't explicitly talk about AI safety in GEB, as far as I remember. But I could be wrong.

I just realized that “soon before” might be read as a qualifier, such that if I eg finish the book on 2026, I can’t resolve the market in 2026.

Most people like it when their markets resolve sooner, so I’d like to be able to resolve this market whenever I’ve finished GEB (ie when the condition is met), instead of waiting for the somewhat arbitrary resolution date.

Please reply to this comment if you object.