Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the spot price of Gold against the US Dollar (XAU/USD) touches or exceeds $5,000.00 USD at any point (intraday) during the month of August 2026 (from August 1, 2026, through August 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC). Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

The primary source of truth for resolution will be the intraday high price of XAU/USD as reported on TradingView (XAUUSD) or Investing.com (XAU/USD). If there is any minor discrepancy between data feeds, a recorded print of $5,000.00 or higher on any major, widely recognized retail forex broker feed (such as OANDA, FXCM, or Saxo) on TradingView will trigger a YES resolution.

Background

Spot Gold (XAU/USD) entered August 2026 trading in the range of $4,290 to $4,350 per troy ounce. Recent momentum has been driven by weak U.S. labor market indicators—such as the July Nonfarm Payrolls report—which have heightened investor expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. For this market to resolve YES, gold must rally approximately 15% from its early-August baseline to touch the $5,000 milestone before the end of the month.

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