This isn't my youngest sister who I live with, this is in reference to my middle sister who still lives in Idaho.
I'm visiting home for Christmas and bringing my boyfriend (the one I met dancing), and he joked that I should make a prediction market on whether he'll bang my sister. Little did he know, I didn't know he was joking until halfways through making this market.
This boyfriend is classic Chad with a high bodycount, and my sister is single so ????
Related questions
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน130 | |
| 2 | แน55 | |
| 3 | แน49 | |
| 4 | แน40 | |
| 5 | แน36 |
@Matt78ff we're quite happy to have this kind of market exist on Manifold. One of our overarching visions is to have markets that resolve to how the creator judges it. This allows for really weird and fun markets like this one, not just the standard markets on world events you see on other sites.
Of course, you don't have to bet on such personal markets if you don't trust the creator; but please don't call such markets "spam"!
@Austin This only creates noise, opens room for score manipulation, and diminishes the achievements of others who strive to forecast events accurately. This market cannot be verified and contradicts the very nature of forecasting.
@Matt78ff haha, Manifold is pretty "big tent" when it comes to the nature of forecasting. We welcome forecasts of all kinds! If you don't like the subjectivity introduced by these kinds of markets, I'd suggest checking out Metaculus, which aims for more objective resolution criteria.