Will Narendra Modi be the PM of India in 2024?
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Jun 1
95%
chance

Indian general elections are coming up in first half of 2024. Resolved yes if the BJP (Modi's party) gets a majority or if the BJP is able to form a coalition government with other parties to form the government.

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According to a recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation survey, the BJP, led by Modi, is projected to win 287 seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, which would be enough for a simple majority. The survey also found that Modi is the most popular choice for Prime Minister, with 61% of respondents saying they would prefer him to lead the country.

Other factors that could favor Modi in 2024 include:

  • The BJP's strong organizational machinery

  • The government's focus on infrastructure development and social welfare schemes

  • Modi's personal charisma and popularity

  • The BJP has won the last seven consecutive state assembly elections.

  • The BJP has a strong majority in the Rajya Sabha, the upper house of the Indian Parliament.

  • Modi has a high approval rating among the Indian public. A recent poll by Pew Research Center found that 72% of Indians approve of Modi's job performance.

@Vidhisejpal I agree with your bet that Narendra Modiji will serve as the Prime Minister of India in 2024. According to an article, from Reuters surveys indicate that Modis popularity remains strong after being in power for a decade and it is likely that he will secure a term. The article also mentions that although the BJP faces challenges the results will demonstrate peoples trust in Modis governance. Another survey conducted by India Today CVoter Mood of the Nation suggests that the BJP led NDA is expected to win a majority of seats with the BJP itself surpassing the required number of seats for a majority. While there are opposing perspectives and alliances attempting to defeat Modi overall sentiments from surveys and reports point towards Narendra Modi winning a term, as Prime Minister in 2024.

Jain, R. (2023, November 7). Indian states vote in key test for Modi and rivals ahead of 2024 general election. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/india/indian-states-vote-key-test-modi-rivals-ahead-2024-general-election-2023-11-07/

Chengappa, R. (2023, September 5). How Narendra Modi looks all set to return in 2024. India Today. https://www.indiatoday.in/india-today-insight/story/how-narendra-modi-looks-all-set-to-return-in-2024-2431344-2023-09-05

bought Ṁ50 of NO

He has already been the PM of India twice. It's time for someone young and new to step up.

predicts YES

This market is ambiguous, it does not list resolution criteria for the case if the BJP comes to power but Modi is not the prime minister.

The question and resolution criteria are inconsistent here. Maybe rephrase your question title to be about whether Modi gets reconfirmed