Will Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert of Colorado win her election in 2024?
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I like it, it is good stock. ๐Ÿ˜‰

bought แน€100 YES

She's running in a safe seat now

bought แน€500 NO

I assume this is the general election, not the primary.

you think the co-04 general is competitive? :o

bought แน€50 NO

There will now be a special election in CO-04 to replace Ken Buck, and the candidate for this election will be selected by a Republican committee which is almost certainly not going to pick Boebert. The special election will be on the same day as the regular primary for CO-04, which seems like it might give the committee choice an advantage in the primary race against her.

Edit: The committee has selected a candidate who is not running in the regular primary.

I will keep the spirit of the question if she switches districts. But to clarify this will resolve to YES if she wins a congregational election in any district. It will resolve to NO if she loses a congregational election or loses a primary election. Hope that sounds ok to everyone.

predicts NO

@SemioticRivalry Boebert will lose her primary.

predicts NO

@GuyCohen People don't realize that yet.

Semiotic Rivalryboughtแน€100YES

@mattyb you are indeed missing something

predicts YES

@SemioticRivalry prior to joining manifold, i thought i was such a good googler. iโ€™ve never been more self-conscious of my internet searching abilities.

predicts YES

@mattyb haha

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