It's up 1% YTD: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/000001:SHA?window=YTD

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Get the latest SSE Composite Index (000001) value, historical performance, charts, and other financial information to help you make more informed trading and investment decisions.

@RobertCousineau and now it's at a loss, YTD.

@RobertCousineau yea currently at -0.52% YTD

@twink_joan_didion -4.8% ytd

What are the odds Scott is talking about the SSE Composite vs the SSE 50?

@kenakofer Scott Alexander clarified that it is the SSE Composite here:

6. Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023? Are you referring to the SSE Composite Index? Because there are others, such as the SSE 50.

Yes, SSE Composite.

I’ll go math plus 2% here. Covid dynamics should make this more likely to be a good year for stocks over there.

- Zvi Mowshowitz

Interest rates are high, the market has a positive expected return even at low interest rates, and I think a reasonable prior is that it goes up by the risk free interest rate so seems reasonable to expect this should be higher

Currently at about $3,090, so this is what it will have to beat.