resolved Feb 2

Will DesTiny run the auction theory markets honorably?

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Insurance market for https://manifold.markets/group/auction-theory (only the markets currently existing in that group at the time this market was created)

Resolves NO if I believe that DesTiny misresolved any of those markets, failed to refund a manalink that should've been refunded, disclosed information that should've been confidential, or otherwise failed to operate the market in accordance with the specified auction rules.

Otherwise the market resolves YES.

If any errors occur but DesTiny offers reimbursement to those affected, this market can still resolve YES.

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	yaboi69	Ṁ84
2	Tetraspace	Ṁ44
3	Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot	Ṁ24
4	ZZZ ZZZ	Ṁ19
5	DesTiny	Ṁ17

Sort by:

A

All the auction markets are resolved now and I've seen no evidence or allegations of dishonor, so this resolves YES.

DesTinypredicted YES at 98%

I think this can resolve yes

A

@DesTiny I'll give it a couple more days in case anyone wants to submit any complaints, but yeah I expect this will resolve YES.

DesTinypredicted YES at 99%

I just realized how easy this market could resolve no. Like I feel like me accidentally implying someones bid or something along those lines, I wouldn't consider that dishonorable

A

@DesTiny That's why I included the part about reimbursement at the end. If it's a minor error and you offer reasonable reimbursement I'm not going to resolve NO for that. The point of this market is to insure against you just keeping all the mana links and not awarding the prize or something like that, not for trivial issues.

DesTinypredicted YES at 99%

@A Ok I see, I think I read the description incorrectly because I thought reimbursement would resolve no. Sorry!

DesTiny sold Ṁ574 YES from 99.0% to 98.8%

Yoav sold Ṁ9 NO from 98.7% to 99.0%

Nico D sold Ṁ13 NO from 98.0% to 98.7%

Yoav bought Ṁ1 NO from 98.1% to 98.0%

Yoav bought Ṁ2 NO from 98.2% to 98.1%

SkunkOreo sold Ṁ37 NO from 95% to 98.2%

Nico D bought Ṁ5 NO from 96% to 95%

Pacc bought Ṁ5 NO at 96%

Nico D sold Ṁ6 NO at 96%

Unconditional Probability bought Ṁ85 YES from 95% to 96%

Nico D bought Ṁ5 NO from 96% to 95%

Yoav bought Ṁ20 NO from 97% to 96%

klaus roth sold Ṁ4 NO at 97%

ZZZ ZZZ sold Ṁ29 NO from 94% to 97%

Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot bought Ṁ50 YES from 93% to 94%

Josh bought Ṁ10 YES at 93%

James bought Ṁ10 NO from 94% to 93%

nmehndir bought Ṁ1 NO at 94%

Ganymede AI created limit order for Ṁ300 YES at 91%

Ganymede AI created limit order for Ṁ300 YES at 92%

Adam created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 76%

Ganymede AI filled limit order Ṁ43/Ṁ300 YES at 93%

Nico D bought Ṁ5 NO from 95% to 94%

DesTiny bought Ṁ307 YES from 91% to 95%

Simon Mendelsohn bought Ṁ10 YES at 91%

Tom Shlomi bought Ṁ42 YES from 89% to 91%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 89%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ29/Ṁ100 YES at 82% (cancelled)

SkunkOreo bought Ṁ45 NO from 93% to 78%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 93%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 91%

SkunkOreo bought Ṁ50 NO from 98% to 86%

Gabriel Wu bought Ṁ10 NO from 98.4% to 98%

klaus roth sold Ṁ3 NO from 98.2% to 98.4%

WHO'S YOUR DADDY? bought Ṁ10 NO from 98.8% to 98.2%

klaus roth bought Ṁ4 NO from 99.0% to 98.8%

Prastiko s bought Ṁ10 NO from 99.4% to 99.0%

Tetraspace bought Ṁ3,000 YES from 96% to 99.4%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 NO from 97% to 96%

Nico D bought Ṁ5 NO at 97%

Diggelaer bought Ṁ10 YES at 97%

Conflux bought Ṁ5 NO from 98% to 97%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 98%

Unconditional Probability bought Ṁ120 YES from 97% to 98%

Adam bought Ṁ2 NO from 98% to 97%

Alex Larocque sold Ṁ10 YES at 98%

Alex Larocque bought Ṁ10 YES at 98%

Darkskywalker Sky bought Ṁ10 YES at 98%

Darkskywalker Sky bought Ṁ10 YES at 98%

Nico D bought Ṁ5 NO from 98.1% to 98%