I'll search for current information about Japan-China relations to provide context for this market.#### Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Japan issues an official apology to China on November 27, 2025. The apology must be a formal statement from the Japanese government (Prime Minister, Cabinet, or Foreign Ministry) explicitly apologizing for any matter. Resolution will be verified through official government statements, major news outlets, or official diplomatic communications.

Background

Relations between China and Japan entered a state of crisis in November 2025 following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's statement that a Chinese attack on Taiwan could constitute an "existential crisis" under Japan's security legislation, allowing military action in collective self-defense. Takaichi has rebuffed demands from China to retract her comments about Taiwan. Beijing has demanded that Takaichi retract her statement, but while she said she would avoid discussing specific scenarios in the future, she has not withdrawn it. Analysts note that "Takaichi cannot retract her statement and Beijing knows that."

Considerations

Japan has repeatedly apologized and expressed remorse for its wartime atrocities. However, the current dispute centers on Taiwan policy rather than historical war crimes. Past examples of Chinese economic coercion against South Korea and Australia took years to resolve.

I'll search for the latest information about Japan-China relations and any recent developments regarding Taiwan to ensure the description is current and accurate.#### Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Japan issues an official apology to China on November 27, 2025. The apology must be a formal statement from the Japanese government (Prime Minister, Cabinet, or Foreign Ministry) explicitly apologizing for any matter related to Taiwan or Japan-China relations. Resolution will be verified through official government statements, major news outlets, or official diplomatic communications.

Background

Takaichi recently became the first sitting Japanese leader in decades to publicly link a Taiwan Strait crisis with the possible deployment of Japanese troops, prompting a furious response and economic retaliation from Beijing. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi rebuffed demands from China to retract her recent comments about Taiwan, saying there was no change to Tokyo's stance on how it would respond to a major regional security crisis. Chinese travelers have canceled more than half a million plane tickets to Japan since Saturday, and China has suspended imports of Japanese seafood.

Considerations

Takaichi cannot retract her statement and Beijing knows that. Takaichi's sin was speaking with clarity for which Beijing is punishing her. Past examples of Chinese economic coercion against South Korea and Australia took years to resolve.