Will Toyota Racing achieve better average points than Gazoo Racing for the 2027 WRC season?

Question

Making it average points because Kalle is not driving full time, and accounting for retirements is too much effort.

Toyota Racing is GR Celica Rally1. Gazoo Racing is GR Yaris Rally1. Evans, Solberg and Pajari will count for Toyota Racing, with Tänak, Katsuta and Rovanperä count towards Gazoo Racing. Co-driver subs are fine, I won't count driver swaps unless permanent.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (0 traders, as of Nov 3, 2026).

Making it average points because Kalle is not driving full time, and accounting for retirements is too much effort.

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