This market resolves to Yes if, by 11:59 PM ET on January 19, 2025, Bob Menendez receives either a full or partial presidential pardon or a commutation of his sentence from President Joe Biden, as officially documented by the White House or another authoritative government source.
- The action must be directly associated with President Joe Biden and must be publicly acknowledged or reported by a credible source, such as an official government announcement, press release, or coverage by major news outlets.
- Both full and partial pardons, as well as commutations (which reduce the severity of the sentence without absolving the underlying conviction), will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- If no pardon or commutation is granted by the specified date and time, the market will resolve to No.
Additional Notes:
- The market will not consider other forms of clemency, such as reprieves or remissions, unless they are explicitly described as a pardon or commutation by the President.
- If Joe Biden leaves office before January 19, 2025, for any reason, the market will resolve to No unless a pardon or commutation was granted before his departure.