M*T :cry: (my dream school)
36
902
733
Mar 14
9%
chance

Check my Columbia University question for stats. Expecting 10% on this question in a month, but you miss all the shots you don't take.

Got into WISE (their fly-in), so take that how you will.

I've applied EA.

Update: deferred

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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bought Ṁ75 of NO

Last year, only 146 out of 7892 deferred applicants to MIT were admitted: less than 2%.

bought Ṁ50 NO at 10%
bought Ṁ20 of YES

@a Number is higher for people who get into MIT Wise. A lot higher

predicts NO

Will this market remain open if you get waitlisted

predicts YES
predicts YES

I’ve been deferred from MIT.

bought Ṁ100 NO at 8%
predicts YES

@0xd34db33f Extended the market until Pi Day.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@0xd34db33f good luck!! hope to lose everything here

@0xd34db33f Question: how will this resolve if you're accepted early decision to Columbia? Aren't you required to rescind your other applications, since ED is a binding contract?

predicts YES

@Vik I will wait until MIT’s decision only a few days later to resolve this market.

@0xd34db33f Cool! Good luck! You got this :)

predicts NO

what kind of info causes the market to spike like this now? did the market creator win some sort of big award or something?

bought Ṁ50 of NO

@Conflux I wouldn't think awards shift decisions this late into the admissions round
Also idt this market has had sufficient bets to have converged

predicts NO

@JuniKim yeah I doubt it. Just couldn’t think of any factors

I guess…

predicts YES

@Conflux Diana is someone who the market creator knew and referred to Manifold, that’s where the yes bets came from