Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the national team that wins the Men's 4×100 metre medley relay at the 2025 World Aquatics Championships. The official results published by World Aquatics will serve as the definitive source for resolution. If the event is canceled or not held, the market will resolve as N/A.

Competition Results | World Aquatics Official

Background

The Men's 4×100 metre medley relay is a prestigious event in competitive swimming, featuring teams of four swimmers each performing a different stroke: backstroke, breaststroke, butterfly, and freestyle. Historically, the United States dominated this event, maintaining an unbeaten streak at the Olympics from its inception in 1960 until 2024. However, at the 2024 Paris Olympics, China ended this streak by securing gold with a time of 3:27.46, marking a significant shift in the event's competitive landscape. (reuters.com)

In the 2023 World Aquatics Championships held in Fukuoka, Japan, the U.S. reclaimed the title with a championship-record time of 3:27.20. The team comprised Ryan Murphy, Nic Fink, Dare Rose, and Jack Alexy. (olympics.com)

As of August 2025, the upcoming World Aquatics Championships are scheduled to take place in Singapore from July 27 to August 3, 2025. The Men's 4×100 metre medley relay is anticipated to be one of the highlight events, with strong competition expected from teams such as China, the United States, France, and Italy.

Considerations

• Team Composition Changes: The U.S. team is undergoing a transitional phase, with key swimmers like Ryan Murphy and Nic Fink not participating in recent national events. This could impact their performance in the relay. (swimswam.com)

• Emerging Competitors: China's recent successes, including their Olympic victory in 2024, position them as strong contenders. Additionally, France's consistent performances, including a bronze medal at the 2024 Olympics, suggest they could challenge for higher placements.

• Event Timing: The 2025 World Aquatics Championships are set for late July to early August in Singapore. Teams' performances leading up to this period, including national trials and other international meets, may provide insights into their potential outcomes in the relay event.