Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
307
Ṁ61kṀ300k
Dec 28
97%
A large asteroid, plummeting towards Earth's gravity well
96%
Cersei Lannister
94%
Dylan Klebold
94%
Trump's attempted assassin
92%
A severe case of ulcerative colitis
91%
Kang and/or Kodos
88%
Albert Speer
88%
Ibrahim abu Bakr Awad Ibrahim Ali al-Badri al-Baghdadi
88%
A random citizen with diagnosed paranoid schizophrenia and a dependence on stimulants
87%
Steve Bannon
85%
A randomly-chosen prisoner in the US carceral system, sentenced for life
85%
Ivan the terrible
84%
Ron Unz
82%
The Grim Reaper
82%
Otto Skorzeny
81%
Karl Donitz
80%
A time traveler who can only go back in time to kill Hitler if he isn't busy being president
77%
Josh Hawley
76%
Christoper Rufo
74%
The Loc-Nar

High Percent answer = Manifold would vote for Trump instead of this person
Low Percent answer = Manifold would vote for this person instead of Trump

Will be resolved by a poll for each option when the market closes.

See other for more options: /strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma-174d8cf13790

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@mods Noob question: Who is allowed to make these polls? Are we allowed to crowd-source this? I'd contribute.

@GilearFaeth just made a bunch more

@GilearFaeth we sometimes ask folks to do so when creators are inactive! but generally we leave it to creators; it's their discretion + responsibility and we don't encourage stepping on toes.

Could you n/a the market? Please or run the polls

@strutheo has this market become an answers graveyard ?

@GazDownright whts a good idea for polling a bunch at once, doing one at a time is slow

@strutheo idk, can claude code use the api to set up polls?

@strutheo make a "tick all that apply" poll for all the remaining options that don't yet have polls, asking something like "which of these would you vote for over trump?"

I would also highly recommend making a market tag or forum post to allow us to see a single combined list of all relevant created polls of yours so far.

@strutheo when are the polls happening? Thanks

@Jack1 looks like he did a lot of these polls and then got bored and started making heaven or hell polls instead

When can we expect polls?

Based on the last year I think that some of these answers might be different, knowing what we know now.

@redcathode Is this the heavy metal band of the 1980s or the 14th century mythical figure?

That's Senator Jar Jar Binks to you!

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 51% order

@strutheo I'd rather have a presidential maniac than a corpse.

@Robincvgr Could you elaborate on the ways they are well-meaning? Even people who support oppression of other groups as intensely as this one is antisemetic often consider themselves to be be "well-meaning" even if I would strongly disagree on their definition of "well"

sold Ṁ360 NO

It says I still have like 1,400 Mana tied up in this market but I can't find what I bought in order to sell it lmao, what do I do??

@Lexer That could be counting options that already resolved.

@strutheo To be clear, all questions resolve YES/NO, not to poll percentage? And if the poll is tied, does it resolve 50%?

@yetforever correct, they only resolve yes or no

bought Ṁ500 YES

@strutheo Resolves YES

[deleted]

reposted

I’m surprised no one has voted on Qin Shi Huang yet

Just created a similar market but versus yourself instead of Trump