What will happen in the courtroom during Trump's Manhattan trial? [ADD ANSWERS]
91
762
5.3k
Jul 16
95%
The defense will call an expert witness
95%
The judge will allow Trump to attend Barron's graduation on May 17
80%
The defense will present an excerpt from one of Michael Cohen's books as evidence
57%
Jury deliberations will take at least three days
53%
Trump will violate the gag order again on May 7 or later and be punished with another fine
51%
Joe Biden will be mentioned
50%
The cross examination of Michael Cohen will conclude before the lunch break on Thursday, May 16
48%
Another recording of Trump and Cohen speaking will be presented as evidence on or after May 7
45%
Trump will violate the gag order again on May 15 or later and be punished with another fine
45%
A Trump tweet will be presented as evidence by the defense
45%
The defense will call at least five witnesses
43%
The jury will find Trump not guilty of at least one of the 34 felony counts
37%
Melania Trump will attend
36%
Jury deliberations will last less than one full day
35%
The defense will present any recording of Trump as evidence
31%
Any witness's time on the stand will last a week or more (5 days in the courtroom)
30%
The defense will ask that Trump be charged with a misdemeanor instead of a felony
26%
Trump will be sentenced to prison time in a cell behind the courtroom for violating the gag order
25%
A juror will appear to fall asleep
22%
Trump will have a different lawyer at the end of the trial than at the start

Tweets from a reporter seeing the trial in person are sufficient to resolve answers. Transcripts can also be found here: https://ww2.nycourts.gov/press/index.shtml

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
The cross examination of Michael Cohen will conclude before the lunch break on Thursday, May 16

@Kolyin What did you mean by this? I can edit the response still

@SaviorofPlant I have no memory of writing that at all! I think I must have accidentally entered a new answer while searching for "Melania," to see the market on her appearance.

@Kolyin Nobody has bet on it yet, so if you want me to edit it to literally anything, I can do that and we can avoid getting a mod involved to N/A it

@SaviorofPlant Thanks! How about, "The cross examination of Michael Cohen will conclude before the lunch break on Thursday, May 16."

reposted

New options: Will Melania attend? Will defense call an expert witness?

You heard it here first! On the QT, on the down-low, and very Hush-Hush!

(for any James Ellroy fans out there)

bought Ṁ139 Answer #7f7735d04529 YES

@ClubmasterTransparent Wow, that was fast

We are getting close with more of prosecution to go. He has been mouthing words during her testimony and the judge has warned his attorneys.

@ClubmasterTransparent Yeah, this was very close to resolving YES: https://pdfs.nycourts.gov/PeopleVs.DTrump-71543/Transcripts/5-7-2024/00099.html

This isn't enough because his attorneys were warned, and the wording of the option implies Trump himself has to be directly warned

Related and getting popular

Not sure if this counts: a motion for a mistrial counts as court proceedings, but it's unclear whether proceedings were ongoing when this happened or if there was a natural pause between the motion and the trial resuming. Will check the transcript

@SaviorofPlant Is anyone other than Haberman even calling Trump’s exit a “storm out”? Not all even mention it. Maybe he just ducked out for the restroom and looked grumpy,

@ClubmasterTransparent This is the only source, I will only resolve YES if the transcript indicates he left abruptly during proceedings

@ClubmasterTransparent No indication of this in the transcript.

bought Ṁ3 Answer #fee6bce74968 NO

3 minutes ago

Maggie Haberman

Reporting from inside the courthouse

This is a good moment to remind people that we have no idea how the jury is interpreting any of this. There is lots of circumstantial evidence that decisions didn’t get made on spending without Trump, and that Michael Cohen made a payment to a porn star, and said later it was better the story didn’t come out before the election. But there has been no direct testimony tying Trump to how the payments were recorded yet.

We're still at zero.

To clarify, this resolves YES if there is a defense exhibit on this page by that date: https://pdfs.nycourts.gov/PeopleVs.DTrump-71543/Evidence/

The judge will allow Trump to attend Barron's graduation on May 17
bought Ṁ652 Answer #2c7dc8d81b7f NO

Opening statements are done and there doesn't seem to be any evidence that this was mentioned. I will wait for the transcript release to resolve.

bought Ṁ724 Answer #af014ca75502 YES

More related questions