Options in this market resolve based on what occurs during the first presidential debate between, currently scheduled for June 27th on CNN. If the event is rescheduled, this market will still resolve based on the first presidential debate.
You can add your own submissions to this market, but please follow these guidelines:
Be clear when a submission is about a candidate saying exact words, and use quotation marks around those words to indicate this.
Submit answers that might or might not happen, nothing too likely or unlikely.
Make your submissions as clear and descriptive as possible.
Please do not submit subjective answers, everyone should agree if an option resolves yes or no regardless of their politics.
Please do not submit options that require counting multiple instances of something occurring, or anything else that is difficult to keep track of.
Please don't submit significantly more answers than anyone else.
I reserve the right to resolve any answer as N/A for quality control reasons.
Submitted options may be edited to make the resolution criteria more objective.
If no presidential debate ever occurs, all options in this market resolve N/A.
Related questions
CNN hosts Jake Tapper and Dana Bash will moderate the first 2024 presidential debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump next month, the network announced Wednesday.
Biden and Trump agreed to participate in two separate debates within minutes of each other earlier Wednesday, one on June 27 on CNN and another on Sept. 10 on ABC News.
Odds of a debate happening are looking up! News from a few minutes ago:
“I am, somewhere. I don’t know when,” Biden said when asked by interviewer Howard Stern whether he planned to debate his predecessor. “I’m happy to debate him.”
It’s the first time Biden has said explicitly he would debate Trump in this election cycle. Previously, he has equivocated, saying it would depend on the former president’s behavior. Some of Biden’s aides have questioned whether Trump would abide by established rules in any potential debate, and before Friday his campaign hadn’t set out any specific debate plan.
Leaving submissions closed here for now so we can still add more when the debate is closer, but if you make your own markets about the debate I can add them to the dashboard!
@ManifoldPolitics The sentence "If no [presidential debate] occurs, all options in this market resolve N/A" in the description means that this can't resolve to YES under the current rules.
@snazzlePop I'm just gonna N/A that since it caused controversy for the SOTU, and I'm going to go through the rest of these now looking for other issues.
Arbitrage opportunity here (I spent all the Mana I had lol):
https://manifold.markets/mirrorbot/acx-2024-will-a-debate-be-held-betw
How does "Options in this market resolve based on what occurs during the first presidential debate between the two. If no such debate occurs, all options in this market resolve N/A." interact with "No presidential debate between Trump and Biden occurs in 2024"? Is it an exception? Can it ever resolve Yes?