Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,300.00 before 4,900.00?
226
2k
แน€1.6k
resolved May 15
Resolved
YES

Resolves only, if the S&P 500 hits 5,300.00 or 4,900.00 points during official NYSE core trading hours after market creation (2024-02-02).

Resolves NO if $SPX <= 4,900.00

Resolves YES if $SPX >= 5,300.00

I'll extend the closing date as needed. Reference is the provided information by NYSE intraday HIGH/LOW (15-minute delay).

This question will close at the earliest 15 minutes after reaching the specified value. In that case, please tag me. If I don't resolve within an hour without a reason, a mod will be allowed to do so.

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If you've any questions or if any scenarios are unclear, please ask beforehand. Otherwise, I will use my best judgment to resolve this question. I might seek input from others if I feel too biased. I will bet in this market.

Disclaimer: Do not trade based on unconfirmed market news or news that you may not understand. URL changes will not alter the outcome of this market. If nyse.com experiences an error, etc. for more than 24 hours or if the information is not available for everyone in the future, I will change the source.

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@traders S&P HIGH at 5,300.80 according to https://www.nyse.com/quote/index/SPX, therefore this question resolves YES. Thanks to everyone for trading โค

The next question is linked down below.

Bulls : Bears - 2 : 0

5,300 it is.

bought แน€9,906 YES

@ChadCotty Thanks, I'll wait for NYSE to confirm and resolve afterward

bought แน€200 NO

Nothing ever happens โค . Closing time extended.

And here we go again.

So can anybody holding the yes position tell my why they are holding it at 59%, while the SP500 is significantly closer to 4900? Just from pure random walk mathematics it's more likely to hit 4900 before 5300

@No_ones_ghost for something like the S and P 500, it's roughly a random walk on top of an upward trend. So it's biased upwards.

@No_ones_ghost average random walk hypothesis enjoyer

Nothing ever happens โค . Closing time extended.

Close date extension needed @Lion

@chrisjbillington Thanks and done. Nothing ever happens. โค

It goes to the 6000-6500

Nothing ever happens. โค Closing time extended.

@Lion And here we go again. Nothing ever happens โค Closing time extended for 14 days