Will a decisive verdict in the Trump trial cause a 5pt change in Biden's odds in the subsequent 7 days?
34
αΉ€6k
Jul 1
17%
chance

After the day a conclusive verdict is announced, I'll consider the average through the 7th day vs the average probability in the day prior to the trial.

If the trial is inconclusive, this market resolves to N/A.

I'll consider Lars' market.

I won't bet.

Get αΉ€600 play money
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The recent evidence seems good.

The clock is ticking!

This market is reflexive

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