Democrats are defending 23 seats, so they face an uphill battle.
In the case of a 50-50 split, this will be resolved according to whether the VP is Republican. Just so this is clear, the tie breaker is the presidential election.
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https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna144822
If she leaves the party to become independent it hurts R senate odds.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna144822
If she leaves the party to become independent it hurts R senate odds.
@NoMoreGiants You want them to but that’s a different question. Why are you confident they’ll lose all?
@BennyBoy Yup... The GOP lost last night in Madison, Alabama. They lost a deep red city council seat in a 33 point swing due to DOBBS.
It amuses me the arrogance of the right and the pretend libertarian tech bros. Read some history, learn about the politics, stop thinking the Internet is reality. It's not. It's a comms tool.
@SemioticRivalry well, I don't live in the US 😝
I currently have a small bet at Biden nomination at 1.3x. Considering adding to that (and to Kamala at 15x too)
But the banger right now is buying Milei
@Tripping There is always a majority and yes it will be based on who the VP is in the case of a split Senate.
@BTE I intend to use this market as the "blessed" market for this question, and edited the description to clarify what you've said in the above comment. Feel free to re-edit.
@MP That is a pretty good take. You are probably right. There are many more dems up in two years than republicans. Twice as many actually.