Both Max (i.e. HBO) & Peacock accounted for 1.3% of TV streaming in March. Which will have higher viewership in April?
43
94
280
resolved May 14
100%99.5%
Peacock
0.5%
Max

The source I am using is Nielsen. Here is their March 2024 report:

  • YouTube (9.7%)

  • Netflix (8.1%)

  • ...

  • Peacock (1.3%)

  • Max (1.3%)

This market resolves to the streaming service that has higher viewership in Nielsen's April 2024 viewership report (whatever looks similar to that link).

  • I will use the order of the streaming services listed. I.e. in March, while both had 1.3% listed, I am assuming that with higher precision Peacock had slightly higher viewership (and thus was listed first).

  • If for some reason I am unable to find a similar-looking Nielsen streaming report for April by the end of June, this market will resolve N/A (I don't expect that to be an issue).

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@traders The April results are in—Peacock stayed strong(-ish) at 1.3%, while Max dropped (slightly) to 1.2%. Resolves to PEACOCK.

I made a fresh market for May. Can Max bounce back? It had the lead for most of last year. Note: the new market resolves to 50% each if they tie (given Nielsen's reported precision), like in March. So even if Peacock retains a lead, it might not be enough to avoid a tie.

/Ziddletwix/max-ie-hbo-peacock-are-neck-neck-in

For more action in the Streaming Wars, check out this market for whether Netflix can stay above 8% (i.e. >3x Max & Peacock combined):

/Ziddletwix/will-netflix-account-for-80-of-tv-s

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