What will happen in the courtroom during Trump's Manhattan trial? [ADD ANSWERS]
88
682
5.2K
Jul 16
92%
The judge will allow Trump to attend Barron's graduation on May 17
89%
Trump will violate the gag order again on May 7 or later and be punished with another fine
86%
A tweet by Michael Cohen will be presented as evidence
73%
The jury will find Trump not guilty of at least one of the 34 felony counts
65%
The defense will present an excerpt from one of Michael Cohen's books as evidence
64%
Jury deliberations will take at least three days
64%
Another recording of Trump and Cohen speaking will be presented as evidence on or after May 7
60%
At least four witnesses will present firsthand knowledge that Trump intentionally falsified business records
56%
Trump will violate the gag order again on May 15 or later and be punished with another fine
54%
A Trump tweet will be presented as evidence by the defense
51%
Joe Biden will be mentioned
45%
The defense will call at least five witnesses
44%
Trump will be sentenced to prison time in a cell behind the courtroom for violating the gag order
40%
A member of Trump's family will testify
35%
The defense will present any recording of Trump as evidence
31%
Any witness's time on the stand will last a week or more (5 days in the courtroom)
30%
The defense will ask that Trump be charged with a misdemeanor instead of a felony
30%
Any witness will appear remotely
29%
Any official or acting Trump cabinet member will testify
24%
Trump will storm out during proceedings

Tweets from a reporter seeing the trial in person are sufficient to resolve answers. Transcripts can also be found here: https://ww2.nycourts.gov/press/index.shtml

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bought Ṁ139 Answer #7f7735d04529 YES

@ClubmasterTransparent Wow, that was fast

We are getting close with more of prosecution to go. He has been mouthing words during her testimony and the judge has warned his attorneys.

@ClubmasterTransparent Yeah, this was very close to resolving YES: https://pdfs.nycourts.gov/PeopleVs.DTrump-71543/Transcripts/5-7-2024/00099.html

This isn't enough because his attorneys were warned, and the wording of the option implies Trump himself has to be directly warned

Related and getting popular

Trump will storm out during proceedings

Not sure if this counts: a motion for a mistrial counts as court proceedings, but it's unclear whether proceedings were ongoing when this happened or if there was a natural pause between the motion and the trial resuming. Will check the transcript

@SaviorofPlant Is anyone other than Haberman even calling Trump’s exit a “storm out”? Not all even mention it. Maybe he just ducked out for the restroom and looked grumpy,

@ClubmasterTransparent This is the only source, I will only resolve YES if the transcript indicates he left abruptly during proceedings

@ClubmasterTransparent No indication of this in the transcript.

At least four witnesses will present firsthand knowledge that Trump intentionally falsified business records
bought Ṁ3 At least four witnes... NO

3 minutes ago

Maggie Haberman

Reporting from inside the courthouse

This is a good moment to remind people that we have no idea how the jury is interpreting any of this. There is lots of circumstantial evidence that decisions didn’t get made on spending without Trump, and that Michael Cohen made a payment to a porn star, and said later it was better the story didn’t come out before the election. But there has been no direct testimony tying Trump to how the payments were recorded yet.

We're still at zero.

To clarify, this resolves YES if there is a defense exhibit on this page by that date: https://pdfs.nycourts.gov/PeopleVs.DTrump-71543/Evidence/

The judge will allow Trump to attend Barron's graduation on May 17
bought Ṁ652 Answer #2c7dc8d81b7f NO

Opening statements are done and there doesn't seem to be any evidence that this was mentioned. I will wait for the transcript release to resolve.

bought Ṁ724 Answer #af014ca75502 YES

This trial won't be livestreamed, correct? It will be hard to verify this one.

bought Ṁ2 Joe Biden will be me... NO

@Quroe There are reporters live-tweeting the proceedings, I'm thinking there's a chance they point something like this out or it appears in a news article

Gotcha. So we can assume this one is strictly based on whether or not some in-room source reports on it? NO if no evidence, YES if reported?

@Quroe That's correct, that is the approach I am taking for most of these answers. Will resolve N/A if there is conflicting evidence (e.g. one reporter claims they fell asleep, another claims they didn't)

bought Ṁ50 Answer #af014ca75502 YES

@ColinAitkena211 Not going to count this tweet, would want a specific accusation of appearing to be asleep in a tweet or news article. You can close your eyes for a short time while awake

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