Set criteria:
Any task which a white collar worker could recognise that would be acheivable in 10 mins or less
Draft criteria:
eg Email, Excel, Word,
Work tasks themselves, not meta tasks "convince your boss you are at work" "make coffee"
What do we think the most complext tasks are now?
Inspired by tweet thread:
Link: https://twitter.com/RichardMCNgo/status/1640568775018975232?s=20
I bet AIs won't be able to do many management tasks (give feedback, take the relationship and personality of the other person into context reasonably), or negotiate for the company buying something (for example, the company needs a CRM/payment system with many requirements and it's hard to figure out which system would fit).
These can all be somewhat done via email
I bet NO
@YonatanCale A typical worker doesnât negotiate for the company or give feedback to direct reports. (Most people arenât managers)
And you canât write up an RfP for a complex product like a CRM in 10 minutes.
@YonatanCale The âtypicalâ part makes it really hard to know whatâs allowed.
Things like âschedule a meeting between three peopleâ, âsubmit an expense reportâ, or âmake a sign for the break room that the coffee machine is brokenâ seem like theyâd be included. But these all seem pretty easy.
Excel is mentioned in the description, but a typical worker can hardly use Excel to sum a list of numbers. Certainly not make a pivot table to analyze a dataset, or anything similar.
@JimHays doesn't matter, the typical worker comment only applies to the selection of the task. For any selected task, the prediction says that the neural net beats all humans.