6 months after the Great Manifold Pivot, will Manifold leadership consider it to have been a good idea?
9
31
á¹€302á¹€220
2100
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The resolve date is a placeholder. The market will resolve based on the majority of the answers I get when I ask any of those among {James, Stephen, Ian, other current Manifold leadership/major staff} who are still working at Manifold 6 months post-Great Pivot. If there is at most one such person remaining, the market will automatically resolve NO (because they all quit).
I resolve the right to make small reasonable edits to the wording of these resolve criteria should someone provide a better operationalization of the question or supply important information about MM's org chart that I've neglected.
Get á¹€600 play money
Related questions
🚧What will Manifold's Big Pivot entail? [ADD RESPONSES]
Six months after The Pivot, will Manifold double its daily active users?
33% chance
When will Manifold pivot from the Pivot?
what manifold users will leave Manifold as a result of the "Big Pivot"
If Manifold runs a hiring-decision market in the next ~year, will they think it's worth doing multiple more times?
42% chance
Will I still be active on Manifold a year after the Great Pivot?
64% chance
Will manifold.love be seen as a mistake by the Manifold community at the end of 2024?
64% chance
Will a reputable news site or TV channel mention the Manifold pivot, starting from now to 2 months after the pivot?
37% chance
Will Manifold enact any of the ideas from "The Bazaar of Knowledge" concept for what the pivot could be, by end 2024?
43% chance
Six months after the pivot, will 50% of legacy Manifold users report they like the site more than before the changes?
16% chance