Lorxus PhD 🦊
@Lorxus
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A math-hunting [post-LW]-rationalist left-wing fox. Well-socialized, can be trusted indoors, and has all their shots. A real doctor (of math) and a real prince, in search of gain and calibration both. Likes to be thanked in the form of tips and bets on their markets.
I will correctly answer literally any question you ask me, if you're willing to pay my cheerful price in marbles. (Could be 0, could be Graham's number.)
I bet in only those of my markets where I cannot meaningfully affect the outcome much without incredibly stupid self-destructive behavior, and whenever I do bet, I always seek to do so in a spirit of honest desire to predict. I actively welcome insider trading, and as such I keep my markets third-party verifiable whenever feasible.
Portfolio
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