NYC St Patrick's Day Parade interrupted by protestors

'day':5 'interrupt':7 'nyc':1 'parad':6 'patrick':3 'protestor':9 'st':2

'announc':4 'compani':3 'larg':1 'layoff':5 'tech':2

DDoS attack against major software company (noticeable and repoted) 

'attack':2 'compani':6 'ddos':1 'major':4 'notic':7 'repot':9 'softwar':5

Trump or Biden drop out/die/are disqualified from the 2024 presidential election

'2024':9 'biden':3 'disqualifi':6 'drop':4 'elect':11 'out/die/are':5 'presidenti':10 'trump':1

Cenk Uygar receives >1% of the vote in a Democratic Primary

'1':4 'cenk':1 'democrat':10 'primari':11 'receiv':3 'uygar':2 'vote':7

V appears more than W on Wikipedia english homepage on the 28th of march

'28th':12 'appear':2 'english':8 'homepag':9 'march':14 'v':1 'w':5 'wikipedia':7

Headline on the Ides of March about an animal escaping a zoo somewhere

'anim':9 'escap':10 'headlin':1 'ide':4 'march':6 'somewher':13 'zoo':12

A sixteen seed beats a one seed in march madness

'beat':4 'mad':10 'march':9 'one':6 'seed':3,7 'sixteen':2

more answers here resolve YES than NO (excluding NA)

'answer':2 'exclud':8 'na':9 'resolv':4 'yes':5

at least one person from congress announces retirement 

'announc':7 'congress':6 'least':2 'one':3 'person':4 'retir':8

a Tesla catches fire as reported and confirmed by mainstream news or tesla-fire.com

'catch':3 'confirm':8 'fire':4 'mainstream':10 'news':11 'report':6 'tesla':2 'tesla-fire.com':13

nvidia reaches a new all time high stock price

'high':7 'new':4 'nvidia':1 'price':9 'reach':2 'stock':8 'time':6

military info leaks via the War Thunder gaming community (sensitive enough to be removed but not required to be classified)

'classifi':20 'communiti':9 'enough':11 'game':8 'info':2 'leak':3 'militari':1 'remov':14 'requir':17 'sensit':10 'thunder':7 'via':4 'war':6

'detroit':2 'game':6 'multipl':5 'piston':3 'win':4

Haley drops out (was - Haley Or Desantis drop out)

earthquake 7.8 magnitude or higher somewhere in the world

'7.8':2 'earthquak':1 'higher':5 'magnitud':3 'somewher':6 'world':9

Tiger woods gets a hole in one in the PGA tour

'get':3 'hole':5 'one':7 'pga':10 'tiger':1 'tour':11 'wood':2

Dippin' Dots added to S&P 500 or Trump drops out or Putin dies

'500':7 'ad':3 'die':14 'dippin':1 'dot':2 'drop':10 'p':6 'putin':13 'trump':9

Trump makes a comment about wanting to be a dictator (even if he claims it's only on day one)

'claim':14 'comment':4 'day':19 'dictat':10 'even':11 'make':2 'one':20 'trump':1 'want':6

@ManifoldPolitics makes its 100th question

'100th':4 'make':2 'manifoldpolit':1 'question':5

The Penn State Nittany Lions basketball teams wins at least 2 games 

'2':11 'basketbal':6 'game':12 'least':10 'lion':5 'nittani':4 'penn':2 'state':3 'team':7 'win':8

'fuck':2 'hawaii':6 'hors':1 'legal':4 'made':3

Sweden still hasnt joined NATO by end of month of March

'end':7 'hasnt':3 'join':4 'march':11 'month':9 'nato':5 'still':2 'sweden':1

More than 10% of the responses on this market resolve against their predicted percentage leaning

'10':3 'lean':15 'market':9 'percentag':14 'predict':13 'resolv':10 'respons':6

Bitcoin goes bust (worth less than $1,000)

'000':8 '1':7 'bitcoin':1 'bust':3 'goe':2 'less':5 'worth':4

'1':7 '49':8 'chris':1 'd100':4 'get':6 'roll':2

Chris wears green, eats corned beef, eats cabbage, drinks beer, drinks a Shamrock Shake, OR attends a St. Patrick's Day event on March 17.

'17':25 'attend':16 'beef':6 'beer':10 'cabbag':8 'chris':1 'corn':5 'day':21 'drink':9,11 'eat':4,7 'event':22 'green':3 'march':24 'patrick':19 'shake':14 'shamrock':13 'st':18 'wear':2

It's the hottest March on record (based on global average temperature)

'averag':11 'base':8 'global':10 'hottest':4 'march':5 'record':7 'temperatur':12

The Detroit Pistons win a hole in one in any Super Tuesday primary

'detroit':2 'hole':6 'one':8 'piston':3 'primari':13 'super':11 'tuesday':12 'win':4

The Detroit Red Wings wins more than 2 games

'2':8 'detroit':2 'game':9 'red':3 'win':5 'wing':4

The Motor City Cruise score more free throws than the Detroit Pistons during Thursday games played after 8pm CST

'8pm':18 'citi':3 'cruis':4 'cst':19 'detroit':11 'free':7 'game':15 'motor':2 'piston':12 'play':16 'score':5 'throw':8 'thursday':14

Trump selects David Grusch as VP OR Michigan State wins a March Madness game

'david':3 'game':14 'grusch':4 'mad':13 'march':12 'michigan':8 'select':2 'state':9 'trump':1 'vp':6 'win':10

At least 10 other answers in this market resolve as N/A

'10':3 'answer':5 'least':2 'market':8 'n/a':11 'resolv':9

'debat':2 'destini':1 'donald':3 'trump':4

At least one share of nVidia stock is traded for >= $800 during premarket, aftermarket, or normal hours

'800':11 'aftermarket':14 'hour':17 'least':2 'normal':16 'nvidia':6 'one':3 'premarket':13 'share':4 'stock':7 'trade':9

Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month

'aliv':4 'eliez':1 'entir':7 'month':8 'yudkowski':2

Eliezer Yudkowsky is unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation remain at 95% or higher

'95':13 'ai':9 'annihil':10 'eliez':1 'higher':15 'probabl':7 'remain':11 'unwav':4 'yudkowski':2

Weak AGI achieved, as defined by the YES resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

'achiev':3 'agi':2 'defin':5 'market':13 'metaculus':12 'resolut':9 'topic':16 'weak':1 'yes':8

University of Connecticut advances to the Final Four

'advanc':4 'connecticut':3 'final':7 'four':8 'univers':1

Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of winning his $150,000 UFO bet meets or exceeds 99.33%

'000':12 '150':11 '99.33':18 'bet':14 'eliez':1 'exceed':17 'meet':15 'probabl':7 'remain':3 'ufo':13 'unwav':4 'win':9 'yudkowski':2

Non-human intelligence begins to enter mainstream discussion, as defined by a non-joke segment on the Nightly News broadcasts of ABC, CBS, or NBC

'abc':24 'begin':5 'broadcast':22 'cbs':25 'defin':11 'discuss':9 'enter':7 'human':3 'intellig':4 'joke':16 'mainstream':8 'nbc':27 'news':21 'night':20 'non':2,15 'non-human':1 'non-jok':14 'segment':17

A Taylor Swift concert does not start on the day it is scheduled

'concert':4 'day':10 'schedul':13 'start':7 'swift':3 'taylor':2

'account':6 'open':3 'swift':2 'taylor':1

Taylor Swift appears on the cover of Vogue, People, or Guns & Ammo

'ammo':12 'appear':3 'cover':6 'gun':11 'peopl':9 'swift':2 'taylor':1 'vogu':8

'concert':7 'die':2 'someon':1 'swift':6 'taylor':5

Ethereum goes bust (worth less than $250)

'250':7 'bust':3 'ethereum':1 'goe':2 'less':5 'worth':4

Civil judgment, civil settlement, or criminal conviction occurs to the detriment of Donald Trump at or before the trial court, excluding appeals court verdicts and whether verdict may be appealed

'appeal':22,30 'civil':1,3 'convict':7 'court':20,23 'crimin':6 'detriment':11 'donald':13 'exclud':21 'judgment':2 'may':28 'occur':8 'settlement':4 'trial':19 'trump':14 'verdict':24,27 'whether':26

At least one share of Microsoft stock traded for >= $430 during premarket, aftermarket, or normal hours

'430':10 'aftermarket':13 'hour':16 'least':2 'microsoft':6 'normal':15 'one':3 'premarket':12 'share':4 'stock':7 'trade':8

Rabbit R1 preorders ship to customers by end of march, as they expect

'custom':6 'end':8 'expect':13 'march':10 'preorder':3 'r1':2 'rabbit':1 'ship':4

Manifold's Approval Rating (MARKET INDEX) is above 50% at end of month

'50':9 'approv':3 'end':11 'index':6 'manifold':1 'market':5 'month':13 'rate':4

Manifold's Approval Rating (POLL INDEX) is above 70% at end of month

'70':9 'approv':3 'end':11 'index':6 'manifold':1 'month':13 'poll':5 'rate':4

Donald Trump makes a serious gaffe that is mentioned on the front page of the New York Times

'donald':1 'front':12 'gaff':6 'make':3 'mention':9 'new':16 'page':13 'serious':5 'time':18 'trump':2 'york':17

New Public Health Emergency of International Concern declared

'concern':7 'declar':8 'emerg':4 'health':3 'intern':6 'new':1 'public':2

Joe Biden makes a serious gaffe that is mentioned on the front page of the New York Times

'biden':2 'front':12 'gaff':6 'joe':1 'make':3 'mention':9 'new':16 'page':13 'serious':5 'time':18 'york':17

Donald Trump favored to become President, according to Betfair, on March 31, 2024 at 11:59:59pm EDT (if there is a confict in Betfair markets, the highest buy order on the whole exchange will be used)

'11':15 '2024':13 '31':12 '59':16 '59pm':17 'accord':7 'becom':5 'betfair':9,25 'buy':29 'confict':23 'donald':1 'edt':18 'exchang':34 'favor':3 'highest':28 'march':11 'market':26 'order':30 'presid':6 'trump':2 'use':37 'whole':33

Weak AGI achieved, as defined by chris (strutheo)'s evaluation of the capabilities of humanity's most advanced software

'achiev':3 'advanc':18 'agi':2 'capabl':13 'chris':7 'defin':5 'evalu':10 'human':15 'softwar':19 'strutheo':8 'weak':1

Palworld has sold 50M or more units before EOM

'50m':4 'eom':9 'palworld':1 'sold':3 'unit':7

Presidential candidate references "the griddy" in a public speech or performs the dance itself

'candid':2 'danc':13 'griddi':5 'perform':11 'presidenti':1 'public':8 'refer':3 'speech':9

Three or more members of Congress announce that they will not run for Re-election 

'announc':7 'congress':6 'elect':16 'member':4 're':15 're-elect':14 'run':12 'three':1

A nominee wears a hat at the Academy Awards

'academi':8 'award':9 'hat':5 'nomine':2 'wear':3

At any time during the month, according to chris (strutheo)'s judgment, the United States has become a direct combatant with daily attacks in a large-scale war in the Red Sea region

'accord':7 'attack':23 'becom':17 'chris':9 'combat':20 'daili':22 'direct':19 'judgment':12 'larg':27 'large-scal':26 'month':6 'red':32 'region':34 'scale':28 'sea':33 'state':15 'strutheo':10 'time':3 'unit':14 'war':29

One of {GPT 4.5, GPT 5, LLaMa 3, Claude 3} is officially announced.

'3':8,10 '4.5':4 '5':6 'announc':13 'claud':9 'gpt':3,5 'llama':7 'offici':12 'one':1

MrBeast reaches 250 million subscribers (must reach in March)

'250':3 'march':9 'million':4 'mrbeast':1 'must':6 'reach':2,7 'subscrib':5

A Christian, Hindu or Buddhist terrorist bombing anywhere in the world. (extremist and/or in the name of the religion)

'and/or':13 'anywher':8 'bomb':7 'buddhist':5 'christian':2 'extremist':12 'hindu':3 'name':16 'religion':19 'terrorist':6 'world':11

Donald Trump is seen wearing a green tie on any day other than St Patrick's Day 

'day':11,17 'donald':1 'green':7 'patrick':15 'seen':4 'st':14 'tie':8 'trump':2 'wear':5

Skibidi Toilet gets banned in at least one country

'ban':4 'countri':9 'get':3 'least':7 'one':8 'skibidi':1 'toilet':2

Michelle Obama favored to win nomination, according to Betfair, on March 31, 2024 at 11:59:59pm EDT

'11':15 '2024':13 '31':12 '59':16 '59pm':17 'accord':7 'betfair':9 'edt':18 'favor':3 'march':11 'michell':1 'nomin':6 'obama':2 'win':5

George R R Martin makes a blog post where he gives a progress update on The Winds of Winter

'blog':7 'georg':1 'give':11 'make':5 'martin':4 'post':8 'progress':13 'r':2,3 'updat':14 'wind':17 'winter':19

Anthony Fantano gives an album a 9 or a 10

'10':10 '9':7 'album':5 'anthoni':1 'fantano':2 'give':3

Marianne Williamson ends her campaign for the Presidency of the U.S.

'campaign':5 'end':3 'mariann':1 'presid':8 'u.s':11 'williamson':2

"The Immortal Thor* features a canonical appearance of Odin

'appear':7 'canon':6 'featur':4 'immort':2 'odin':9 'thor':3

On March 5, insufficient information is available to close out all the corresponding February market's questions 

'5':3 'avail':7 'close':9 'correspond':13 'februari':14 'inform':5 'insuffici':4 'march':2 'market':15 'question':17

Super Mario 64 70 Star speed run World Record is broken

'64':3 '70':4 'broken':11 'mario':2 'record':9 'run':7 'speed':6 'star':5 'super':1 'world':8

'general':3 'kill':5 'russian':2 'ukrain':7

at least one xkcd comic where there are no stick figures at all

'comic':5 'figur':11 'least':2 'one':3 'stick':10 'xkcd':4

$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month

'500':1 'day':8 'mana':3 'month':11 'singl':7 'sold':4

web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts by the end of month

'20':5 'end':9 'least':4 'month':11 'post':6 'web3isgoinggreat':1