Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape

A tesla catches fire as reported by tesla-fire.com

Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 80M views on Youtube

Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 75M views on Youtube

English Wikipedia reaches 6.8M ARTICLES or more

Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse releases

English Wikipedia reaches 60M PAGES or more

Skibidi Toilet ends their original series

Chat GPT 5 releases to the general userbase

Trump announces Vice President running mate

Rabbit R1 ships and is confirmed in consumer hands

the "500 poll" reaches its target goal of 500 responses

GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #84

GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #85

Joseph Anderson releases long awaited Witcher 3 video

first confirmed Neuralink trials with humans

Taylor Swift announce engagement or marriage

Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world

Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users

Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends

three or more teslas catch fire as reported by mainstream news or tesla-fire.com

Nikki Haley drops out of the primary OR accepts a VP running spot OR wins the republican primary (ie she becomes the candidate or otherwise ends run)

the first Atlantic hurricane of the season

the second Atlantic hurricane of the season

the first Pacific hurricane of the season

the second Pacific hurricane of the season

the third Pacific hurricane of the season

the fourth Pacific hurricane of the season

the third Atlantic hurricane of the season

the fourth Atlantic hurricane of the season

CGP Grey releases a new video (not a reupload)

Contrapoints releases a video (not a reupload)

Rust (game) adds metal detectors OR pets to the official servers

this market reaches 100 TRADERS - NA duplicate

this market reaches 10k individual TRADES

Alaska-Hawaii airline deal is either finalized OR cancelled

Mr Beat reaches 1M subscribers (the history youtuber)

Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)

7 or more people die in a single shooting event in the United States

Ukraine and Russia announce a temporary ceasefire

Supreme Court issues decision on Trump v. Anderson (decide whether Section Three of the 14th amendment disqualifies Trump from being listed on the primary ballot)

Rust Movie Armorer (Hannah Gutierrez-Reed) Trial officially ends

Supreme Court issues decision on United States v. Rahimi (does 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(8), which prohibits the possession of firearms by persons subject to domestic-violence restraining orders, violates 2nd amendment)

Nikki Haley reaches 18%  on 538's republican primary page for the first time

First game of the MLB World Series starts

a second tesla catches fire as reported by tesla-fire.com

From Software announces a new game AND it has a released trailer

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

Any events that do not happen by EOY 2024 will be resolved 100% YES.