Will there be 4 or more successful coups in 2023?

Question

YES if the coupists in 4 countries are able to take and maintain control of the government for at least seven days or are able to achieve a definitive majority of their goals.

Successful coups so far:

Niger - 07-26-2023

Ongoing coup attempts:

Gabon - since 08-20-2023

Failed coup attempts:

Brazil

Moldova

Sudan (now a civil war)

Kyrgyzstan (allegedly)

Sierra Leon

Likley coup candidates?

Let me hear your best guesses!

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 1, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.