Will the Coup in Gabon succeed?

Question

A military coup has been announced in Gabon on 08-30-2023.

Paraphrased from DW:

A group of senior Gabonese military officers made a televised announcement on Wednesday, stating their decision to invalidate the outcome of the recent national election, asserting concerns about its credibility. This move followed the state electoral body's declaration of President Ali Bongo as the winner of a third term. These officers, purporting to represent all of Gabon's security and defense forces, declared the dissolution of "all the institutions of the republic."

Their stated reason for this intervention was what they described as "irresponsible and unpredictable governance," which they believed had led to a deteriorating social climate. Their aim was to restore peace by ending the current regime. The announcement, broadcast on the Gabon 24 TV channel, was made on behalf of a group calling itself the "Committee for the Transition and Restoration of Institutions. In a related development, there were reports of gunfire heard in the capital city of Libreville, as reported by the news agency AFP.

YES if the coupists are able to take and maintain control of the government for at least seven days or are able to achieve a definitive majority of their goals (specific goals unknow at the time of market creation - will update in comments).

Fyi: the most recent coup attempt in Gabon happened in 2019.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Sep 6, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.